Areas of Highest Concern
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access.
The start of the March to May first season rains in Greater Equatoria was 10-30 days late, and rainfall was below average and poorly distributed.
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced.
According to IOM, as the rainy season starts, a total of 41 camps hosting more than 300,000 IDPs are considered prone to flooding.
The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought.
Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average.
Other Areas of Concern
Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement.
According to IOM, there have been almost 225,000 returns from Iran and Pakistan since the beginning of the year, of which only 8 percent of returnees from Iran were assisted.
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities.
The Ebola outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri Provinces has reached over 1500 deaths, while renewed conflict in Ituri Province causes increased internal displacement.
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe.
Food security outcomes slightly improve with the harvest despite being below average; however, the improvement is anticipated for the near-term.
The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas.
No new cholera cases have been reported in the center region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800.
Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes.
Livestock prices in southern Madagascar are increasing, leading to improved market access for poor households.
Areas of Highest Concern
| País ou região | Motivo de preocupação | Observações atuais |
|---|---|---|
| South Sudan |
Conflict has severely disrupted trade, humanitarian access, and livelihoods. Very poor macroeconomic conditions constrain household market access. |
The start of the March to May first season rains in Greater Equatoria was 10-30 days late, and rainfall was below average and poorly distributed. |
| Yemen |
The extensive conflict has reduced incomes, and food prices remain elevated. Food access is inadequate for many poor households. |
On June 20, 2019, WFP began a suspension of assistance to approximately 850,000 people in Sana’a City. |
| Nigeria |
Boko Haram attacks continue in the northeast, and the ongoing conflict will likely severely limit area cultivated during the 2018 main season. Nearly 1.9 million people are currently displaced. |
According to IOM, as the rainy season starts, a total of 41 camps hosting more than 300,000 IDPs are considered prone to flooding. |
| Horn of Africa |
The 2019 Gu/long rains season has so far been well below average and follows a below-average 2018/19 Deyr/short rains season. In many areas, households are still recovering from the 2016/17 drought. |
Gu (Somalia), Belg (Ethiopia), and marginal agricultural long rains (Kenya) harvests of main cereal crops are expected to be one month late and significantly below average. |
Other Areas of Concern
| País ou região | Motivo de preocupação | Observações atuais |
|---|---|---|
| Afghanistan |
Drought negatively affected 2017/2018 rainfed wheat yields and pastoral conditions. Furthermore, prolonged conflict continues to disrupt livelihoods and lead to displacement. |
According to IOM, there have been almost 225,000 returns from Iran and Pakistan since the beginning of the year, of which only 8 percent of returnees from Iran were assisted. |
| DRC |
Ongoing conflicts in the Kasai region, North Kivu, South Kivu, Ituri, Maniema, and Tanganyika Provinces have caused continuing displacement and affected households’ abilities to access typical livelihood activities. |
The Ebola outbreak in North Kivu and Ituri Provinces has reached over 1500 deaths, while renewed conflict in Ituri Province causes increased internal displacement. |
| Southern Africa |
Poorly distributed rains and drought conditions will lead to production losses during the main harvest for smallholders in parts of Malawi, Mozambique, Madagascar and Zimbabwe. |
Food security outcomes slightly improve with the harvest despite being below average; however, the improvement is anticipated for the near-term. |
| Mozambique |
The impacts of tropical cyclones Desmond, Idai, and Kenneth have led to death, displacement, and widespread destruction. Additionally, the rainy season performed poorly in southern areas. |
No new cholera cases have been reported in the center region since May 30 with the total number of cases reported since the outbreak was declared on March 27 of nearly 6,800. |
| Madagascar |
Consecutive years of below-average rainfall in the South have reduced agricultural production and household incomes. |
Livestock prices in southern Madagascar are increasing, leading to improved market access for poor households. |
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A Rede de Sistemas de AlertaPrecoce de Fome é líder na provisão de alertas precoces e análises relativas à insegurança alimentar. Estabelecida em 1985 com o fim de auxiliar os responsáveis pela tomada de decisões a elaborar planos para crises humanitárias, a FEWS NET provê análises baseadas em evidências em cerca de 35 países. Entre os membros implementadores refere-se a NASA , NOAA, USDA e o USGS, assim como a Chemonics International Inc. e a Kimetrica. Leia mais sobre o nosso trabalho.
