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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Food access improves with new harvests and declining staple food prices

May 2018

May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
National Parks/Reserves
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Harvesting of major crops is intensifying across the country and is expected to extend into June, especially for central and northern regions. These activities continue to improve food access for farming households. However preliminary reports from the Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation, and Water Development indicate that maize production for the 2018/19 consumption will be below average.

  • The tobacco selling season officially opened on April 10th amid estimated production of about 14 percent below trade requirements, according to Tobacco Control Commission. Tobacco sales across the country have showed a reduction of 3-12 percent in selling prices in comparison to last season. Lower prices coupled with below-average tobacco production has reduced household incomes from tobacco sales and related labor activities.

  • With the arrival of new harvests, prices for staple maize followed typical trends and decreased 5 to 20 percent from the previous month in most markets across the country. Maize prices are 8 to 33 percent below the five-year average. Households in areas affected by drought conditions and erratic rains are still relying on markets for their food supplies and are experiencing improved purchasing power due to the low food prices.

  • Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food security outcomes are expected to continue across most of the country due to improved household stocks from the ongoing harvests and below-average staple prices. However, some very poor and poor households in areas severely affected by dry spells and FAW infestations will start facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food security outcomes much earlier than normal (August/September) because household stocks are expected to run out earlier than normal. 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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