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Presence Country
Key Message Update

Conflict continues in northeast as nearly 1.8 million people remain displaced

April 2018

April - May 2018

June - September 2018

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Elevated Risk of Famine - Phase 5 cannot be confirmed nor disproven with available evidence
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Elevated Risk of Famine - Phase 5 cannot be confirmed nor disproven with available evidence
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Concentration of displaced people
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Humanitarian actors continue to scale-up assistance provision in Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa States. In March 2018, more than 2.2 million people received food assistance in the northeast, with 1.7 million people reached in Borno State, the epicenter of the insurgency. More than 1.1 million people received livelihoods support in the same month. However, there is concern that response needs in Michika and Madagali LGAs of Adamawa State are much greater than the assistance provided there, which reached approximately 43,000 people.

  • Insurgent attacks on soft targets in the northeast persist, resulting in fatalities and population displacement. Disruptions to market functionality and livelihood activities are likely to continue throughout the outlook period, limiting income and cropping activities. Substantial populations in affected areas are facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes, including many of the nearly 1.8 million displaced people. Areas that remain inaccessible to humanitarian actors are likely facing similar or worse outcomes relative to adjoining areas.

  • Staple prices for both cereals and tubers continued to decline or remain stable through March 2018 across most markets as most households consumed own production, reducing market demand. However, rice prices increased by 10 to 15 percent in Ibadan, Maiduguri, and Biu markets, while sorghum increased by six percent in Mubi market and millet by five percent in Gujungu market.

  • Most households outside of the northeast are consuming own-produced food and are engaged in livestock sales and casual wage labor. With early green and dry-season harvests providing increased access to food and income, most areas are facing Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes. However, many households in the central states who are impacted by the escalation of conflicts between herders and farmers, which have caused an increasing number of fatalities, loss of assets, and population displacement, are facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 34 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

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